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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 14,472,711
The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 269 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 268 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 16, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 December 2020 — its closest relative in 268 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 71 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 1,084 winners, 55% more than the 698 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 14,472,711 |
| 5 | 5 | ZAR 31,382 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 32 | ZAR 3,070 |
| 4 | 468 | ZAR 355 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,084 | ZAR 173 |
| 3 | 18,165 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 12,851 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 57,458 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 86,119 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 176,182 | — |