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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 3,888,746
The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 268 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 267 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 16, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2018 — its closest relative in 267 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 January 2021): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 144 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,355 winners, 14% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 93,102 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 54,614 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 10,170 | ZAR 21.00 |
| Match 3 | 12,355 | ZAR 23.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 675 | ZAR 508 |
| Match 4 | 281 | ZAR 1,078 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 10 | ZAR 46,403 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 3,888,746 |