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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 11 December 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 13
  2. 18
  3. 25
  4. 36
  5. 49
  6. 19

JackpotZAR 13,372,509

The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 258 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-12-08All recent draws2020-12-15 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 2
    2. 6
    3. 13
    4. 21
    5. 34
    6. 14

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 18 25 36 4929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community13 18 25 36 49 + 1928 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1332times
1826times
2527times
3630times
4934times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 257 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 36, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 November 2020 — its closest relative in 257 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.5Mto 169k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 385.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 809.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 874.9K
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 13,372,510
  2. Match 53≈ 1.4 by chanceZAR 107,119
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 16 by chanceZAR 11,837
  4. Match 4402≈ 306 by chanceZAR 849
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball735≈ 709 by chanceZAR 525
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,273≈ 10k by chanceZAR 23.50
  7. Match 315,865≈ 13k by chanceZAR 20.30
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,942≈ 53k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball87,487≈ 87k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,865 winners, 18% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball87,487ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,942ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,273ZAR 23.50
Match 315,865ZAR 20.30
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball735ZAR 525
Match 4402ZAR 849
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17ZAR 11,837
Match 53ZAR 107,119
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 13,372,510