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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 17 November 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 36
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 12

JackpotZAR 80,657,669

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 251 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-11-13All recent draws2020-11-20 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 8
    2. 9
    3. 13
    4. 48
    5. 50
    6. 2

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 36 37 3829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community11 12 36 37 38 + 1228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread21th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1130times
1217times
3628times
3717times
3828times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

1218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 250 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 September 2020 — its closest relative in 250 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2020): 11 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 36–37, 37–38. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-11-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.2Mto 211k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 441.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers38%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 80,657,669
  2. Match 53≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 122,703
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 20 by chanceZAR 10,022
  4. Match 4349≈ 387 by chanceZAR 1,120
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball827≈ 896 by chanceZAR 534
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,137≈ 13k by chanceZAR 21.10
  7. Match 314,961≈ 17k by chanceZAR 24.60
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball71,000≈ 67k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball110,610≈ 111k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,961 winners, 12% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball110,610ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball71,000ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,137ZAR 21.10
Match 314,961ZAR 24.60
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball827ZAR 534
Match 4349ZAR 1,120
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23ZAR 10,022
Match 53ZAR 122,703
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 80,657,669