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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 30 October 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 27
  3. 36
  4. 46
  5. 49
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 53,352,433

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 246 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-10-27All recent draws2020-11-03 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 16
    2. 26
    3. 34
    4. 41
    5. 42
    6. 10

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 27 36 46 4929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 27 36 46 49 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

427times
2721times
3625times
4629times
4932times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 245 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (36, 46, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 October 2018 — its closest relative in 245 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2020): 46 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.9Mto 231k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 539.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 2.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 53,352,433
  2. Match 53≈ 1.9 by chanceZAR 149,929
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 23 by chanceZAR 11,266
  4. Match 4402≈ 435 by chanceZAR 1,188
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball886≈ 1.0k by chanceZAR 609
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,441≈ 14k by chanceZAR 25.10
  7. Match 318,240≈ 19k by chanceZAR 24.70
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,958≈ 76k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball124,219≈ 124k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 886 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball124,219ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,958ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,441ZAR 25.10
Match 318,240ZAR 24.70
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball886ZAR 609
Match 4402ZAR 1,188
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25ZAR 11,266
Match 53ZAR 149,929
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 53,352,433