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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 46,535,653
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 233 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 232 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 August 2020 — its closest relative in 232 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 September 2020): 12 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 87 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 19,761 winners, 21% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 46,535,653 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 102,222 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 31 | ZAR 4,129 |
| 4 | 430 | ZAR 504 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,001 | ZAR 245 |
| 3 | 19,761 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 14,033 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 69,741 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 106,349 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 211,348 | — |