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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 6,003,180
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 217 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 216 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 30, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 November 2019 — its closest relative in 216 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 527 winners, 8% fewer than the 570 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 6,003,180 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 135,914 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 8 | ZAR 10,638 |
| 4 | 211 | ZAR 683 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 527 | ZAR 309 |
| 3 | 10,584 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 7,990 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 43,234 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 70,341 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 132,896 | — |