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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 8 May 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 12
  2. 21
  3. 30
  4. 35
  5. 45
  6. 18

JackpotZAR 9,088,382

The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 196 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-05-05All recent draws2020-05-12 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 3
    2. 16
    3. 34
    4. 37
    5. 44
    6. 9

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 21 30 35 4529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community12 21 30 35 45 + 1828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap11th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

1211times
2117times
3012times
3523times
4515times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 195 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 April 2020 — its closest relative in 195 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-08

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 2.5Mto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%ZAR 367.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 581.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 630.4K
  • 4 other tiers36%ZAR 906.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chanceZAR 9,088,382
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball9≈ 12 by chanceZAR 40,788
  3. Match 4219≈ 221 by chanceZAR 1,094
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball551≈ 511 by chanceZAR 492
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,297≈ 7.3k by chanceZAR 23.30
  6. Match 310,329≈ 9.7k by chanceZAR 21.90
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball38,756≈ 38k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball63,037≈ 63k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 551 winners, 8% more than the 511 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball63,037ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball38,756ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,297ZAR 23.30
Match 310,329ZAR 21.90
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball551ZAR 492
Match 4219ZAR 1,094
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball9ZAR 40,788
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 9,088,382