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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 17 March 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 16
  2. 29
  3. 34
  4. 38
  5. 49
  6. 14

JackpotZAR 65,291,063

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 181 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-03-13All recent draws2020-03-20 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 11
    2. 20
    3. 22
    4. 25
    5. 50
    6. 16

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 29 34 38 4929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community16 29 34 38 49 + 1428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1615times
2928times
3421times
3820times
4924times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

146times

Every number was expected about that many times after 180 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (29, 34, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2019 — its closest relative in 180 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.9Mto 247k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%ZAR 677.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.3M
  • 4 other tiers34%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chanceZAR 65,291,063
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 24 by chanceZAR 23,366
  3. Match 4459≈ 463 by chanceZAR 964
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,146≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 437
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,226≈ 15k by chanceZAR 20.60
  6. Match 319,006≈ 20k by chanceZAR 22.00
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,007≈ 81k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball132,416≈ 132k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,146 winners, 7% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball132,416ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,007ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,226ZAR 20.60
Match 319,006ZAR 22.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,146ZAR 437
Match 4459ZAR 964
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29ZAR 23,366
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 65,291,063