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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 19 November 2019

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 16
  4. 43
  5. 44
  6. 10

JackpotZAR 100,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 147 of 1,712 under them

← 2019-11-15All recent draws2019-11-22 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 31
    2. 32
    3. 39
    4. 45
    5. 47
    6. 16

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 16 43 4429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 4 16 43 44 + 1028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 November 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

325times
413times
1614times
4317times
4412times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

105times

Every number was expected about that many times after 146 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 43, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 July 2019 — its closest relative in 146 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 43–44. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2019-11-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 5.0Mto 245k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 541.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.3M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 2.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chanceZAR 100,000,000
  2. Match 52≈ 2.0 by chanceZAR 225,538
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 24 by chanceZAR 15,693
  4. Match 4407≈ 457 by chanceZAR 1,177
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball927≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 584
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,779≈ 15k by chanceZAR 22.90
  7. Match 318,822≈ 20k by chanceZAR 24.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,457≈ 80k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball130,612≈ 131k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 927 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball130,612ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,457ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,779ZAR 22.90
Match 318,822ZAR 24.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball927ZAR 584
Match 4407ZAR 1,177
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18ZAR 15,693
Match 52ZAR 225,538
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 100,000,000