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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 1 October 2019

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 29
  4. 32
  5. 50
  6. 7

JackpotZAR 24,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 133 of 1,712 under them

← 2019-09-27All recent draws2019-10-04 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 11
    2. 16
    3. 17
    4. 24
    5. 50
    6. 2

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 29 32 5029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 9 29 32 50 + 728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

322times
914times
2920times
3212times
5011times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

76times

Every number was expected about that many times after 132 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 September 2019 — its closest relative in 132 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.9Mto 217k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball9.1%ZAR 355.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers34%ZAR 1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 24,000,000
  2. Match 51≈ 1.8 by chanceZAR 295,910
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 22 by chanceZAR 7,412
  4. Match 4294≈ 415 by chanceZAR 1,069
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball878≈ 961 by chanceZAR 405
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,945≈ 14k by chanceZAR 17.20
  7. Match 313,737≈ 18k by chanceZAR 21.60
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball70,439≈ 72k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball118,636≈ 119k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,737 winners, 25% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball118,636ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball70,439ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,945ZAR 17.20
Match 313,737ZAR 21.60
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball878ZAR 405
Match 4294ZAR 1,069
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25ZAR 7,412
Match 51ZAR 295,910
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 24,000,000