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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 53,702,828
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 55 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 5 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 54 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (44, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 December 2018 — its closest relative in 54 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 227 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 46–47, 47–48. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 8,235 winners, 24% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 93,703 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 47,971 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 8,235 | ZAR 24.80 |
| Match 3 | 10,951 | ZAR 24.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 613 | ZAR 532 |
| Match 4 | 421 | ZAR 685 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 17 | ZAR 10,008 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 135,852 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 53,702,828 |