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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 30 October 2018

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 19
  2. 20
  3. 24
  4. 27
  5. 29
  6. 19

JackpotZAR 8,053,318

The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 37 of 1,712 under them

← 2018-10-26All recent draws2018-11-02 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 22
    2. 28
    3. 31
    4. 36
    5. 40
    6. 14

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 20 24 27 2929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community19 20 24 27 29 + 1928 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

197times
201time
249times
272times
293times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

191time

Every number was expected about that many times after 36 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (19, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 October 2018 — its closest relative in 36 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2018): 19, 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-30

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.0Mto 150k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 17lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%ZAR 442.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 750.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 748.0K
  • 4 other tiers36%ZAR 1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chanceZAR 8,053,318
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 14 by chanceZAR 22,116
  3. Match 4331≈ 262 by chanceZAR 872
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball781≈ 606 by chanceZAR 418
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,509≈ 8.7k by chanceZAR 19.40
  6. Match 313,878≈ 12k by chanceZAR 19.60
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball50,024≈ 46k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,795≈ 75k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 781 winners, 29% more than the 606 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,795ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball50,024ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,509ZAR 19.40
Match 313,878ZAR 19.60
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball781ZAR 418
Match 4331ZAR 872
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20ZAR 22,116
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 8,053,318