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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 21 August 2018

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 19
  2. 21
  3. 23
  4. 34
  5. 45
  6. 9

JackpotZAR 21,110,773

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 17 of 1,712 under them

← 2018-08-17All recent draws2018-08-24 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 10
    2. 20
    3. 31
    4. 32
    5. 36
    6. 17

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 21 23 34 4529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community19 21 23 34 45 + 928 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

194times
211time
231time
344times
452times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

90times

Every number was expected about that many times after 16 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (34, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 July 2018 — its closest relative in 16 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2018): 19 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.1Mto 159k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 328.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 787.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 813.2K
  • 5 other tiers39%ZAR 1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 21,110,773
  2. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chanceZAR 273,473
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 15 by chanceZAR 12,232
  4. Match 4278≈ 285 by chanceZAR 1,044
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball780≈ 659 by chanceZAR 421
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,519≈ 9.4k by chanceZAR 19.60
  7. Match 313,574≈ 13k by chanceZAR 20.10
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,480≈ 50k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball81,323≈ 81k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 780 winners, 18% more than the 659 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball81,323ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,480ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,519ZAR 19.60
Match 313,574ZAR 20.10
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball780ZAR 421
Match 4278ZAR 1,044
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14ZAR 12,232
Match 51ZAR 273,473
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 21,110,773