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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 17 July 2018

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 12
  2. 26
  3. 34
  4. 35
  5. 44
  6. 4

JackpotZAR 79,463,002

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 7 of 1,711 under them

← 2018-07-13All recent draws2018-07-20 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 12
    2. 28
    3. 31
    4. 35
    5. 41
    6. 1

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 26 34 35 4429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community12 26 34 35 44 + 428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

120times
260times
342times
351time
440times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

40times

Every number was expected about that many times after 6 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 July 2018 — its closest relative in 6 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 July 2018): 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.8Mto 239k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 522.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 79,463,003
  2. Match 51≈ 1.9 by chanceZAR 435,314
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28≈ 23 by chanceZAR 9,736
  4. Match 4444≈ 431 by chanceZAR 1,041
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,161≈ 999 by chanceZAR 450
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,169≈ 14k by chanceZAR 21.50
  7. Match 321,485≈ 19k by chanceZAR 20.30
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball77,329≈ 75k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball123,261≈ 123k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,161 winners, 16% more than the 999 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball123,261ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball77,329ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,169ZAR 21.50
Match 321,485ZAR 20.30
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,161ZAR 450
Match 4444ZAR 1,041
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28ZAR 9,736
Match 51ZAR 435,314
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 79,463,003