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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 3 July 2018

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 38
  3. 48
  4. 49
  5. 50
  6. 18

JackpotZAR 55,151,797

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 3 of 1,711 under them

← 2018-06-29All recent draws2018-07-06 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 20
    2. 28
    3. 29
    4. 30
    5. 39
    6. 9

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 38 48 49 5029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 38 48 49 50 + 1828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

30times
380times
480times
490times
501time
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

180times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 June 2018 — its closest relative in 2 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49, 49–50. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.1Mto 198k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 20lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 453.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 886.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 55,151,797
  2. Match 52≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 189,014
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 21 by chanceZAR 11,836
  4. Match 4429≈ 390 by chanceZAR 936
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball816≈ 903 by chanceZAR 556
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,232≈ 13k by chanceZAR 27.70
  7. Match 315,913≈ 17k by chanceZAR 23.80
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball59,081≈ 68k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball111,398≈ 111k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 10,232 winners, 21% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball111,398ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball59,081ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,232ZAR 27.70
Match 315,913ZAR 23.80
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball816ZAR 556
Match 4429ZAR 936
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20ZAR 11,836
Match 52ZAR 189,014
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 55,151,797