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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 18,431,496
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 254 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 253 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 253 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 23, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 December 2017 — its closest relative in 253 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 May 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 147 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + PowerBall — 10,988 winners, 6% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 18,431,496 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 125,154 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 16 | ZAR 7,910 |
| 4 | 392 | ZAR 612 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 921 | ZAR 250 |
| 3 | 17,292 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 10,988 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 51,304 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 78,178 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |