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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 4,830,818
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 861 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 860 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 860 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 27, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 October 2016 — its closest relative in 860 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 February 2018): 8, 30 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 682 winners, 5% fewer than the 720 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 60,765 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 42,065 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 8,974 | ZAR 22.60 |
| Match 3 | 13,558 | ZAR 22.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 682 | ZAR 526 |
| Match 4 | 329 | ZAR 1,138 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 15 | ZAR 13,147 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 390,006 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 4,830,818 |