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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 19,512,719
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 835 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 834 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 834 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 32, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 May 2016 — its closest relative in 834 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 November 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 9,398 winners, 3% fewer than the 9.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 64,375 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 43,562 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 9,398 | ZAR 23.10 |
| Match 3 | 14,658 | ZAR 22.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 779 | ZAR 492 |
| Match 4 | 427 | ZAR 937 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 27 | ZAR 7,809 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 208,488 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | ZAR 19,512,719 |