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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 5,516,383
The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 818 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 817 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 817 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 30, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 July 2017 — its closest relative in 817 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2017): 39 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 113 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,881 winners, 9% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 82,698 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 55,081 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 11,435 | ZAR 23.30 |
| Match 3 | 16,881 | ZAR 23.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 912 | ZAR 516 |
| Match 4 | 381 | ZAR 1,289 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 24 | ZAR 10,780 |
| Match 5 | 3 | ZAR 170,554 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 5,516,383 |