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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 6,900,328
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 170 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 169 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 169 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 February 2017 — its closest relative in 169 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 July 2017): 22 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 593 winners, 14% more than the 520 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 2 | ZAR 3,450,164 |
| 5 | 26 | ZAR 11,101 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 23 | ZAR 6,345 |
| 4 | 593 | ZAR 467 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,121 | ZAR 236 |
| 3 | 21,624 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 13,123 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 61,497 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 90,030 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |