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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 14 July 2017

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 21
  2. 28
  3. 29
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 8

JackpotZAR 26,061,833

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 798 of 1,161 under them

← 2017-07-11All recent draws2017-07-18 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 11
    2. 25
    3. 26
    4. 41
    5. 43
    6. 8

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 28 29 31 3529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community21 28 29 31 35 + 828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 797 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

2191times
2890times
2970times
31101times
3596times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

829times

Every number was expected about that many times after 797 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 31, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 January 2015 — its closest relative in 797 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2017-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.8Mto 214k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 512%ZAR 578.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers44%ZAR 2.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chanceZAR 26,061,833
  2. Match 54≈ 3.1 by chanceZAR 144,673
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 33 by chanceZAR 17,213
  4. Match 4433≈ 621 by chanceZAR 1,283
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,078≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 494
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,685≈ 16k by chanceZAR 20.50
  7. Match 320,203≈ 24k by chanceZAR 22.30
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball69,930≈ 75k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball107,504≈ 108k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 433 winners, 30% fewer than the 621 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball107,504ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball69,930ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,685ZAR 20.50
Match 320,203ZAR 22.30
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,078ZAR 494
Match 4433ZAR 1,283
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17ZAR 17,213
Match 54ZAR 144,673
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 26,061,833