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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 25 March 2016

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 21
  5. 33
  6. 2

JackpotZAR 4,710,153

The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 662 of 1,161 under them

← 2016-03-22All recent draws2016-03-29 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 1
    2. 6
    3. 11
    4. 30
    5. 42
    6. 11

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 12 21 3329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 7 12 21 33 + 228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 661 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

185times
776times
1286times
2176times
3359times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

224times

Every number was expected about that many times after 661 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 February 2013 — its closest relative in 661 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 March 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-25

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.2Mto 131k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 17lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 513%ZAR 423K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%ZAR 649.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%ZAR 602.6K
  • 5 other tiers48%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 4,710,153
  2. Match 51≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 422,986
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 18 by chanceZAR 9,723
  4. Match 4421≈ 348 by chanceZAR 965
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball810≈ 714 by chanceZAR 480
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,952≈ 9.0k by chanceZAR 22.10
  7. Match 316,071≈ 14k by chanceZAR 20.50
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,300≈ 42k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball60,264≈ 60k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,071 winners, 18% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball60,264ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,300ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,952ZAR 22.10
Match 316,071ZAR 20.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball810ZAR 480
Match 4421ZAR 965
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22ZAR 9,723
Match 51ZAR 422,986
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 4,710,153