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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 6,223,975
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 24 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 23 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 23 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 December 2015 — its closest relative in 23 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 14% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 February 2016): 41 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 79 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 17,099 winners, 32% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 6,223,975 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 93,997 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 15 | ZAR 6,337 |
| 4 | 424 | ZAR 425 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 880 | ZAR 196 |
| 3 | 17,099 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 9,594 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 39,548 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 57,373 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |