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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 16,674,905
The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 5 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 4 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (25, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 December 2015 — its closest relative in 4 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 31% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 840 winners, 8% fewer than the 915 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 16,674,905 |
| 5 | 5 | ZAR 47,562 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 25 | ZAR 4,810 |
| 4 | 408 | ZAR 559 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 840 | ZAR 260 |
| 3 | 16,605 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 11,224 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 52,714 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 77,150 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |