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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 13 November 2015

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 20

JackpotZAR 31,637,127

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 625 of 1,161 under them

← 2015-11-10All recent draws2015-11-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 16 31 4529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community2 11 16 31 45 + 2028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 624 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

266times
1173times
1666times
3181times
4575times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

2036times

Every number was expected about that many times after 624 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 11, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 August 2015 — its closest relative in 624 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-13

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 37.4Mto 193k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 35lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball85%ZAR 31.6M
  • Match 53.5%ZAR 1.3M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball3.4%ZAR 1.3M
  • 5 other tiers8.4%ZAR 3.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.27 by chanceZAR 31,637,127
  2. Match 55≈ 5.2 by chanceZAR 263,946
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball69≈ 55 by chanceZAR 13,430
  4. Match 4855≈ 1.0k by chanceZAR 412
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,162≈ 2.1k by chanceZAR 334
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball27,006≈ 27k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 337,027≈ 41k by chanceZAR 18.50
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball125,558≈ 126k by chanceZAR 10.10
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 855 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball125,558ZAR 10.10
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball27,006ZAR 17.00
Match 337,027ZAR 18.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,162ZAR 334
Match 4855ZAR 412
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball69ZAR 13,430
Match 55ZAR 263,946
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1ZAR 31,637,127