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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 12,343,648
The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 608 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 607 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 607 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 19, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 August 2011 — its closest relative in 607 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 September 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 130 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,948 winners, 14% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | — |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 62,114 | ZAR 11.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 13,305 | ZAR 20.00 |
| Match 3 | 22,948 | ZAR 17.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,047 | ZAR 403 |
| Match 4 | 499 | ZAR 413 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 24 | ZAR 22,557 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 385,497 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 12,343,648 |