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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 5 December 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 14
  2. 20
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 39
  6. 12

JackpotZAR 27,544,591

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 528 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-12-02All recent draws2014-12-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 20 26 28 3929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community14 20 26 28 39 + 1228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 527 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

1451times
2052times
2663times
2862times
3950times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 527 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 28, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 April 2013 — its closest relative in 527 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 December 2014): 26 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.3Mto 135k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 706.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 917.7K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chanceZAR 27,544,591
  2. Match 53≈ 3.5 by chanceZAR 335,368
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38≈ 37 by chanceZAR 18,591
  4. Match 4779≈ 694 by chanceZAR 344
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,481≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 372
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,466≈ 18k by chanceZAR 18.00
  7. Match 330,651≈ 27k by chanceZAR 17.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball83,424≈ 83k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 30,651 winners, 13% more than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball83,424ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,466ZAR 18.00
Match 330,651ZAR 17.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,481ZAR 372
Match 4779ZAR 344
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38ZAR 18,591
Match 53ZAR 335,368
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 27,544,591