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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 22 July 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 9
  2. 21
  3. 27
  4. 39
  5. 43
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 9,867,076

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 489 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-07-18All recent draws2014-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 21 27 39 4329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community9 21 27 39 43 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 488 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd99th
  • low32th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

952times
2153times
2743times
3944times
4348times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

333times

Every number was expected about that many times after 488 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (27, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 July 2014 — its closest relative in 488 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.2Mto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 734.3K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 515.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 695K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chanceZAR 9,867,076
  2. Match 52≈ 2.6 by chanceZAR 367,173
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 28 by chanceZAR 15,625
  4. Match 4670≈ 525 by chanceZAR 292
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,106≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 363
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,435≈ 14k by chanceZAR 18.00
  7. Match 321,180≈ 20k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball63,182≈ 63k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 670 winners, 28% more than the 525 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball63,182ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,435ZAR 18.00
Match 321,180ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,106ZAR 363
Match 4670ZAR 292
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33ZAR 15,625
Match 52ZAR 367,173
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 9,867,076