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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 13 May 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 20
  4. 24
  5. 38
  6. 20

JackpotZAR 7,188,685

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 469 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-05-09All recent draws2014-05-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 20 24 3829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 4 20 24 38 + 2028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 468 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 May 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread77th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

164times
440times
2049times
2448times
3851times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

2029times

Every number was expected about that many times after 468 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 4, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 January 2013 — its closest relative in 468 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2014): 1 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-05-13

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3Mto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 710.7K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 499K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 643.5K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chanceZAR 7,188,685
  2. Match 51≈ 2.4 by chanceZAR 710,732
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21≈ 26 by chanceZAR 23,764
  4. Match 4476≈ 486 by chanceZAR 398
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,024≈ 999 by chanceZAR 380
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,024≈ 13k by chanceZAR 18.00
  7. Match 318,702≈ 19k by chanceZAR 19.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball58,498≈ 58k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 13,024 winners, 3% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball58,498ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,024ZAR 18.00
Match 318,702ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,024ZAR 380
Match 4476ZAR 398
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21ZAR 23,764
Match 51ZAR 710,732
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 7,188,685