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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 4 April 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 16
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 44
  6. 15

JackpotZAR 12,725,011

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 459 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-04-01All recent draws2014-04-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 16 22 24 4429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 16 22 24 44 + 1528 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 458 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 April 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

341times
1659times
2253times
2446times
4454times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

1522times

Every number was expected about that many times after 458 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 16, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 August 2011 — its closest relative in 458 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 April 2014): 24 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-04-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.9Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 35lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 917.1K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 643.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 844.1K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chanceZAR 12,725,011
  2. Match 53≈ 3.2 by chanceZAR 305,686
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 34 by chanceZAR 22,204
  4. Match 4516≈ 638 by chanceZAR 474
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,093≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 459
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,552≈ 17k by chanceZAR 20.00
  7. Match 323,662≈ 25k by chanceZAR 20.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,735≈ 77k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 516 winners, 19% fewer than the 638 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,735ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,552ZAR 20.00
Match 323,662ZAR 20.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,093ZAR 459
Match 4516ZAR 474
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29ZAR 22,204
Match 53ZAR 305,686
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 12,725,011