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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 11 March 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 9
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 25
  5. 37
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 12,662,863

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 452 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-03-07All recent draws2014-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 19 21 25 3729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community9 19 21 25 37 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 451 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd99th
  • low65th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

951times
1946times
2149times
2545times
3758times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

1628times

Every number was expected about that many times after 451 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 21, 25, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 July 2010 — its closest relative in 451 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2014): 37 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.3Mto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball40%ZAR 1.3M
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball13%ZAR 422.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 708.1K
  • 3 other tiers26%ZAR 856.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chanceZAR 12,662,863
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24≈ 28 by chanceZAR 54,732
  3. Match 4592≈ 535 by chanceZAR 348
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,085≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 389
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,227≈ 14k by chanceZAR 18.00
  6. Match 323,205≈ 21k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,373≈ 64k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 23,205 winners, 11% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,373ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,227ZAR 18.00
Match 323,205ZAR 17.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,085ZAR 389
Match 4592ZAR 348
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24ZAR 54,732
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 12,662,863