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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 10 December 2013

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 31
  5. 37
  6. 18

JackpotZAR 48,338,684

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 426 of 1,161 under them

← 2013-12-06All recent draws2013-12-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 21 31 3729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 16 21 31 37 + 1828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 425 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 December 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

156times
1653times
2145times
3154times
3753times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1825times

Every number was expected about that many times after 425 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 31, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 March 2013 — its closest relative in 425 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 December 2013): 21, 31 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-12-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.1Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 941.1K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 660.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 898.9K
  • 4 other tiers38%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chanceZAR 48,338,684
  2. Match 52≈ 3.1 by chanceZAR 470,572
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 33 by chanceZAR 21,317
  4. Match 4591≈ 623 by chanceZAR 425
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,213≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 424
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,660≈ 16k by chanceZAR 20.00
  7. Match 325,238≈ 24k by chanceZAR 19.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball74,910≈ 75k by chanceZAR 12.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,213 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball74,910ZAR 12.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,660ZAR 20.00
Match 325,238ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,213ZAR 424
Match 4591ZAR 425
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31ZAR 21,317
Match 52ZAR 470,572
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 48,338,684