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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 7 May 2013

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 21
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 6

JackpotZAR 22,883,706

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 364 of 1,161 under them

← 2013-05-03All recent draws2013-05-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 21 37 3829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 5 21 37 38 + 628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 363 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours97th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

431times
542times
2140times
3744times
3842times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

615times

Every number was expected about that many times after 363 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 5, 37, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 August 2011 — its closest relative in 363 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2013): 21 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 37–38. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-05-07

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.6Mto 114k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 839.4K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 589.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 792.9K
  • 4 other tiers38%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chanceZAR 22,883,706
  2. Match 54≈ 3.0 by chanceZAR 209,846
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34≈ 32 by chanceZAR 17,335
  4. Match 4578≈ 599 by chanceZAR 387
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,144≈ 1.2k by chanceZAR 401
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,237≈ 16k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 323,817≈ 23k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,084≈ 72k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,144 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,084ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,237ZAR 17.00
Match 323,817ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,144ZAR 401
Match 4578ZAR 387
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34ZAR 17,335
Match 54ZAR 209,846
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 22,883,706