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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 5 March 2013

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 22
  4. 26
  5. 38
  6. 4

JackpotZAR 11,860,587

The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 347 of 1,161 under them

← 2013-03-01All recent draws2013-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 22 26 3829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community9 12 22 26 38 + 428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 346 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 March 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread39th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

942times
1243times
2239times
2636times
3839times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

419times

Every number was expected about that many times after 346 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 12, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 January 2011 — its closest relative in 346 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-03-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.4Mto 114k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 799.3K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 561.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 720.3K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chanceZAR 11,860,587
  2. Match 54≈ 3.0 by chanceZAR 199,836
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball40≈ 32 by chanceZAR 14,032
  4. Match 4730≈ 599 by chanceZAR 292
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,234≈ 1.2k by chanceZAR 354
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,620≈ 16k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 323,878≈ 23k by chanceZAR 17.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,031≈ 72k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 730 winners, 22% more than the 599 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,031ZAR 10.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,620ZAR 17.00
Match 323,878ZAR 17.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,234ZAR 354
Match 4730ZAR 292
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball40ZAR 14,032
Match 54ZAR 199,836
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 11,860,587