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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 7 December 2012

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 17
  3. 33
  4. 42
  5. 45
  6. 10

JackpotZAR 8,018,201

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 323 of 1,161 under them

← 2012-12-04All recent draws2012-12-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 17 33 42 4529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 17 33 42 45 + 1028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 322 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

425times
1738times
3331times
4242times
4549times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

1019times

Every number was expected about that many times after 322 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 17, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 April 2012 — its closest relative in 322 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 December 2012): 45 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-07

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.6Mto 123k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 36lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 841.9K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 591.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 741.9K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chanceZAR 8,018,201
  2. Match 51≈ 3.4 by chanceZAR 841,855
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 36 by chanceZAR 19,068
  4. Match 4603≈ 685 by chanceZAR 372
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,233≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 373
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,453≈ 18k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 322,023≈ 27k by chanceZAR 19.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,430≈ 82k by chanceZAR 9.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,023 winners, 18% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,430ZAR 9.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,453ZAR 17.00
Match 322,023ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,233ZAR 373
Match 4603ZAR 372
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31ZAR 19,068
Match 51ZAR 841,855
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 8,018,201