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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 26 July 2011

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 18
  2. 26
  3. 28
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 11,227,328

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 181 of 1,161 under them

← 2011-07-22All recent draws2011-07-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 26 28 34 3629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community18 26 28 34 36 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 180 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd1th
  • low9th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

1825times
2613times
2818times
3419times
3622times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

39times

Every number was expected about that many times after 180 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 28, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2011 — its closest relative in 180 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2011): 26 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.8Mto 122k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 884.8K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 621.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 830.6K
  • 4 other tiers38%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chanceZAR 11,227,328
  2. Match 54≈ 3.1 by chanceZAR 221,204
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34≈ 33 by chanceZAR 18,273
  4. Match 4794≈ 628 by chanceZAR 297
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,250≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 387
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,431≈ 16k by chanceZAR 18.00
  7. Match 327,706≈ 24k by chanceZAR 16.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball75,507≈ 76k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 794 winners, 26% more than the 628 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball75,507ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,431ZAR 18.00
Match 327,706ZAR 16.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,250ZAR 387
Match 4794ZAR 297
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34ZAR 18,273
Match 54ZAR 221,204
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 11,227,328