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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 8 July 2011

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 5
  2. 22
  3. 30
  4. 32
  5. 33
  6. 18

JackpotZAR 31,562,753

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 176 of 1,161 under them

← 2011-07-05All recent draws2011-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 22 30 32 3329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community5 22 30 32 33 + 1828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 175 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

514times
2219times
3023times
3223times
3320times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

186times

Every number was expected about that many times after 175 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 30, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 February 2010 — its closest relative in 175 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 July 2011): 30 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.5Mto 130k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 748.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 970K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chanceZAR 31,562,753
  2. Match 52≈ 3.4 by chanceZAR 533,030
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 35 by chanceZAR 25,812
  4. Match 4635≈ 672 by chanceZAR 448
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,337≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 436
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,967≈ 17k by chanceZAR 21.00
  7. Match 329,914≈ 26k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball80,832≈ 81k by chanceZAR 12.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 29,914 winners, 14% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball80,832ZAR 12.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,967ZAR 21.00
Match 329,914ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,337ZAR 436
Match 4635ZAR 448
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29ZAR 25,812
Match 52ZAR 533,030
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 31,562,753