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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 31 December 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 21
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 35
  6. 7

JackpotZAR 2,706,808

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 123 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-12-28All recent draws2011-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 21 23 32 3529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 21 23 32 35 + 728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 122 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 December 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

39times
2113times
2316times
3219times
3513times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

77times

Every number was expected about that many times after 122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (32, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 December 2010 — its closest relative in 122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-12-31

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.6Mto 136k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 36lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball41%ZAR 1.5M
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball13%ZAR 469.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%ZAR 736.3K
  • 3 other tiers26%ZAR 934.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.20 by chanceZAR 2,706,808
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 40 by chanceZAR 37,433
  3. Match 4578≈ 765 by chanceZAR 396
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,444≈ 1.6k by chanceZAR 325
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,817≈ 20k by chanceZAR 14.00
  6. Match 322,550≈ 30k by chanceZAR 19.00
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball92,042≈ 92k by chanceZAR 8.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 578 winners, 24% fewer than the 765 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball92,042ZAR 8.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,817ZAR 14.00
Match 322,550ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,444ZAR 325
Match 4578ZAR 396
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39ZAR 37,433
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 2,706,808