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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 5 November 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 32
  6. 10

JackpotZAR 23,079,189

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 107 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-11-02All recent draws2010-11-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 25 26 3229 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 4 25 26 32 + 1028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 106 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

116times
46times
2511times
266times
3215times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

106times

Every number was expected about that many times after 106 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 October 2010 — its closest relative in 106 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.8Mto 150k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 36lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 798.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 1M
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chanceZAR 23,079,189
  2. Match 56≈ 4.2 by chanceZAR 189,429
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37≈ 44 by chanceZAR 21,569
  4. Match 4648≈ 842 by chanceZAR 468
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,324≈ 1.7k by chanceZAR 470
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,267≈ 22k by chanceZAR 19.00
  7. Match 326,770≈ 33k by chanceZAR 22.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball101,240≈ 101k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,324 winners, 23% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball101,240ZAR 10.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,267ZAR 19.00
Match 326,770ZAR 22.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,324ZAR 470
Match 4648ZAR 468
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37ZAR 21,569
Match 56ZAR 189,429
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 23,079,189