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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 6 July 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 21
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 9

JackpotZAR 55,038,362

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 72 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-07-02All recent draws2010-07-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 21 39 4129 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community7 8 21 39 41 + 928 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 71 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 July 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

79times
810times
217times
399times
414times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

93times

Every number was expected about that many times after 71 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 8, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2010 — its closest relative in 71 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 37% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2010): 7 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-07-06

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 8.8Mto 292k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 35lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 2M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 1.4M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 1.9M
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 3.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.42 by chanceZAR 55,038,362
  2. Match 56≈ 8.0 by chanceZAR 341,092
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball67≈ 84 by chanceZAR 21,448
  4. Match 41,281≈ 1.6k by chanceZAR 426
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,008≈ 3.3k by chanceZAR 372
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball40,824≈ 41k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 355,267≈ 62k by chanceZAR 19.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball191,449≈ 191k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,281 winners, 20% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball191,449ZAR 10.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball40,824ZAR 17.00
Match 355,267ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,008ZAR 372
Match 41,281ZAR 426
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball67ZAR 21,448
Match 56ZAR 341,092
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 55,038,362