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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 23 February 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 18
  4. 34
  5. 41
  6. 14

JackpotZAR 7,283,328

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 35 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-02-19All recent draws2010-02-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 18 34 4129 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 12 18 34 41 + 1428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 34 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread77th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

40times
124times
188times
342times
412times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

141time

Every number was expected about that many times after 34 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (18, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 January 2010 — its closest relative in 34 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 February 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.6Mto 165k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 35lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 766.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 960.2K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.23 by chanceZAR 7,283,328
  2. Match 51≈ 4.4 by chanceZAR 1,091,305
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball49≈ 47 by chanceZAR 15,638
  4. Match 4768≈ 887 by chanceZAR 379
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,973≈ 1.8k by chanceZAR 302
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,113≈ 23k by chanceZAR 15.00
  7. Match 331,533≈ 35k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball106,691≈ 107k by chanceZAR 9.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 768 winners, 13% fewer than the 887 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball106,691ZAR 9.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,113ZAR 15.00
Match 331,533ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,973ZAR 302
Match 4768ZAR 379
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball49ZAR 15,638
Match 51ZAR 1,091,305
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 7,283,328