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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 15,823,354
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 645 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 644 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 644 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 5 of 6 numbers (20, 34, 42, 43, 47) with the draw of 24 February 2018 — its closest relative in 644 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 0.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2023): 42 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 191 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 71% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 23,325 winners, 12% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 15,823,354 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 141,346 |
| 5 | 31 | ZAR 3,039 |
| 4 + Bonus | 83 | ZAR 1,408 |
| 4 | 1,372 | ZAR 170 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,159 | ZAR 108 |
| 3 | 27,658 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 23,325 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 54,629 | — |