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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 September 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 41
  7. 50

JackpotZAR 5,044,484

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 640 of 2,540 under them

← 2023-09-20All recent draws2023-09-27 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus 1
    1. 20
    2. 25
    3. 35
    4. 39
    5. 42
    6. 51
    7. 46
  • plus 2
    1. 12
    2. 21
    3. 25
    4. 27
    5. 38
    6. 52
    7. 16

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 24 25 27 41 + 5029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 639 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap70th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

189times
562times
2474times
2574times
2776times
4170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 639 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 25, 27, 41) with the draw of 16 February 2022 — its closest relative in 639 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.6Mto 145k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 20lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 49.0%ZAR 329K
  • 2 + Bonus15%ZAR 540.7K
  • 356%ZAR 2M
  • 3 other tiers20%ZAR 728.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.14 by chanceZAR 5,044,484
  2. 5 + Bonus0≈ 0.86 by chanceno winners
  3. 531≈ 39 by chanceZAR 7,965
  4. 4 + Bonus74≈ 97 by chanceZAR 2,648
  5. 42,031≈ 2.1k by chanceZAR 162
  6. 3 + Bonus2,359≈ 2.9k by chanceZAR 121
  7. 2 + Bonus27,035≈ 31k by chanceZAR 20.00
  8. 340,914≈ 41k by chanceZAR 50.00
  9. -72,444—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 2,359 winners, 17% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
60ZAR 5,044,484
5 + Bonus0ZAR 0.00
531ZAR 7,965
4 + Bonus74ZAR 2,648
42,031ZAR 162
3 + Bonus2,359ZAR 121
340,914ZAR 50.00
2 + Bonus27,035ZAR 20.00
-72,444—