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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw · plus 1

Wednesday, 23 August 2023

plus 1Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 14
  5. 27
  6. 30
  7. 10

JackpotZAR 1,925,632

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 631 of 2,540 under them

← 2023-08-19All recent draws2023-08-26 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 4
    2. 6
    3. 24
    4. 28
    5. 41
    6. 46
    7. 27
  • plus 2
    1. 1
    2. 5
    3. 8
    4. 19
    5. 41
    6. 49
    7. 14

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 12 14 27 30 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 630 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

882times
1182times
1285times
1473times
2791times
3081times

Every number was expected about that many times after 630 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 12) with the draw of 26 April 2023 — its closest relative in 630 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 2Mto 138k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 410%ZAR 189.2K
  • 2 + Bonus21%ZAR 418.4K
  • 345%ZAR 892.1K
  • 4 other tiers24%ZAR 471.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.13 by chanceZAR 1,925,632
  2. 5 + Bonus6≈ 0.75 by chanceZAR 19,055
  3. 546≈ 34 by chanceZAR 1,657
  4. 4 + Bonus128≈ 85 by chanceZAR 738
  5. 42,056≈ 1.9k by chanceZAR 92.00
  6. 3 + Bonus3,384≈ 2.5k by chanceZAR 55.00
  7. 2 + Bonus27,891≈ 27k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. 335,684≈ 36k by chanceZAR 25.00
  9. -69,195—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 3,384 winners, 36% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
60ZAR 1,925,632
5 + Bonus6ZAR 19,055
546ZAR 1,657
4 + Bonus128ZAR 738
42,056ZAR 92.00
3 + Bonus3,384ZAR 55.00
335,684ZAR 25.00
2 + Bonus27,891ZAR 15.00
-69,195—