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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 19,436,200
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 629 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 628 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 628 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 8, 28, 48) with the draw of 13 August 2022 — its closest relative in 628 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 3,427 winners, 2% more than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 19,436,200 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 100,548 |
| 5 | 50 | ZAR 3,497 |
| 4 + Bonus | 140 | ZAR 1,561 |
| 4 | 2,519 | ZAR 145 |
| 3 + Bonus | 3,427 | ZAR 93.00 |
| 3 | 48,195 | ZAR 50.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 35,943 | ZAR 20.00 |
| - | 90,275 | — |