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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 2,097,521
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 582 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 581 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 581 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 28, 43) with the draw of 29 May 2021 — its closest relative in 581 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 166 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 31,091 winners, 18% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 2,097,521 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 175,402 |
| 5 | 27 | ZAR 4,330 |
| 4 + Bonus | 94 | ZAR 1,543 |
| 4 | 1,789 | ZAR 162 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,754 | ZAR 105 |
| 3 | 35,090 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 31,091 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 70,846 | — |