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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 17,975,490
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 435 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 434 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 434 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 20, 43) with the draw of 29 May 2021 — its closest relative in 434 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 171 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 62% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 2,282 winners, 7% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 17,975,490 |
| 5 + Bonus | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 | 32 | ZAR 4,798 |
| 4 + Bonus | 93 | ZAR 1,940 |
| 4 | 1,773 | ZAR 179 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,282 | ZAR 139 |
| 3 | 35,013 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 25,545 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 64,738 | — |