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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 2
plus 2Lotto
JackpotZAR 7,163,580
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 431 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 430 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 430 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 5 of 6 numbers (5, 17, 21, 33, 47) with the draw of 29 December 2018 — its closest relative in 430 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 0.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2021): 33 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 22,128 winners, 8% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | ZAR 3,581,790 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 127,351 |
| 5 | 38 | ZAR 2,234 |
| 4 + Bonus | 74 | ZAR 1,423 |
| 4 | 1,607 | ZAR 131 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,061 | ZAR 102 |
| 3 | 32,035 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 22,128 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 57,946 | — |