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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 6,858,407
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 336 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 335 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 335 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 26, 28) with the draw of 10 July 2019 — its closest relative in 335 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 October 2020): 26 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 139 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 23,579 winners, 9% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 6,858,407 |
| 5 + Bonus | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 | 26 | ZAR 4,328 |
| 4 + Bonus | 58 | ZAR 2,280 |
| 4 | 1,507 | ZAR 155 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,151 | ZAR 108 |
| 3 | 28,874 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 23,579 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 56,195 | — |